Where Will the World’s Next 1,000 Babies Be Born?

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Map showing where the next 1,000 babies will be born, based on birth rates and population estimates

Where Will the World’s Next 1,000 Babies Be Born?

View a higher resolution version of this map.

Every four minutes, approximately 1,000 babies are born across the globe. But in which countries are these babies the most statistically likely to come from?

Using data from the CIA World Factbook, this graphic by Pratap Vardhan (Stats of India) paints a picture of the world’s demographics, showing which countries are most likely to welcome the next 1,000 babies based on population and birth rates as of 2022 estimates.

The Next 1,000 Babies, By Country

Considering India has a population of nearly 1.4 billion, it’s fairly unsurprising that it ranks first on the list. Of every 1,000 babies born, the South Asian country accounts for roughly 172 of them.

Place Region Births Per 1,000 Global Babies
🇮🇳​ India Asia 171.62
🇨🇳 China Asia 102.84
🇳🇬 Nigeria Africa 56.50
🇵🇰 Pakistan Asia 47.23
🇨🇩 Congo, Democratic Republic of the Africa 31.90
🇮🇩 Indonesia Asia 31.20
🇺🇸 United States Americas 30.42
🇪🇹 Ethiopia Africa 25.44
🇧🇷 Brazil Americas 22.27
🇧🇩 Bangladesh Asia 21.52
🇵🇭 Philippines Asia 18.75
🇪🇬 Egypt Africa 16.98
🇹🇿 Tanzania Africa 15.61
🇺🇬 Uganda Africa 13.89
🇲🇽 Mexico Americas 12.85
🇻🇳 Vietnam Asia 11.96
🇸🇩 Sudan Africa 11.79
🇰🇪 Kenya Africa 10.82
🇦🇴 Angola Africa 10.68
🇦🇫 Afghanistan Asia 9.98
🇷🇺 Russia Europe 9.85
🇮🇷 Iran Asia 9.73
🇲🇿 Mozambique Africa 8.72
🇹🇷 Turkey Asia 8.71
🇳🇪 Niger Africa 8.46
🇿🇦 South Africa Africa 7.84
🇨🇲 Cameroon Africa 7.65
🇮🇶 Iraq Asia 7.34
🇬🇭 Ghana Africa 6.94
🇲🇲 Myanmar Asia 6.90
🇯🇵 Japan Asia 6.34
🇲🇱 Mali Africa 6.25
🇩🇿 Algeria Africa 6.01
🇨🇮 Cote d’Ivoire Africa 5.97
🇲🇬 Madagascar Africa 5.93
🇫🇷 France Europe 5.85
🇩🇪 Germany Europe 5.62
🇾🇪 Yemen Asia 5.61
🇨🇴 Colombia Americas 5.48
🇧🇫 Burkina Faso Africa 5.41
🇬🇧 United Kingdom Europe 5.37
🇹🇩 Chad Africa 5.34
🇦🇷 Argentina Americas 5.29
🇹🇭 Thailand Asia 5.19
🇿🇲 Zambia Africa 5.03
🇲🇦 Morocco Africa 4.70
🇲🇼 Malawi Africa 4.27
🇧🇯 Benin Africa 4.16
🇸🇳 Senegal Africa 4.15
🇵🇪 Peru Americas 4.08
🇳🇵 Nepal Asia 3.95
🇻🇪 Venezuela Americas 3.78
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia Asia 3.69
🇿🇼 Zimbabwe Africa 3.67
🇲🇾 Malaysia Asia 3.62
🇸🇾 Syria Asia 3.60
🇺🇿 Uzbekistan Asia 3.55
🇬🇳 Guinea Africa 3.47
🇸🇴 Somalia Africa 3.45
🇧🇮 Burundi Africa 3.28
🇸🇸 South Sudan Africa 3.19
🇮🇹 Italy Europe 3.12
🇬🇹 Guatemala Americas 2.90
🇺🇦 Ukraine Europe 2.88
🇨🇦 Canada Americas 2.85
🇰🇵 Korea, North Asia 2.71
🇰🇷 Korea, South Asia 2.63
🇷🇼 Rwanda Africa 2.56
🇪🇸 Spain Europe 2.47
🇵🇱 Poland Europe 2.38
🇰🇭 Cambodia Asia 2.37
🇦🇺 Australia Oceania 2.36
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka Asia 2.35
🇰🇿 Kazakhstan Asia 2.19
🇪🇨 Ecuador Americas 2.09
🇸🇱 Sierra Leone Africa 2.06
🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea Oceania 2.04
🇹🇬 Togo Africa 1.99
🇯🇴 Jordan Asia 1.82
🇭🇹 Haiti Americas 1.76
🇨🇱 Chile Americas 1.73
🇧🇴 Bolivia Americas 1.65
🇱🇷 Liberia Africa 1.44
🇩🇴 Dominican Republic Americas 1.42
🇳🇱 Netherlands Europe 1.40
🇹🇯 Tajikistan Asia 1.39
🇨🇫 Central African Republic Africa 1.31
🇨🇬 Congo, Republic of the Africa 1.30
🇹🇼 Taiwan Asia 1.28
🇹🇳 Tunisia Africa 1.28
🇭🇳 Honduras Americas 1.24
🇪🇷 Eritrea Africa 1.23
🇷🇴 Romania Europe 1.19
🇱🇦 Laos Asia 1.19
🇮🇱 Israel Asia 1.14
🇱🇾 Libya Africa 1.13
🇦🇿 Azerbaijan Asia 1.03
🇧🇪 Belgium Europe 0.95
🇵🇾 Paraguay Americas 0.88
🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan Asia 0.87
🇸🇻 El Salvador Americas 0.86
🇲🇷 Mauritania Africa 0.86
🇸🇪 Sweden Europe 0.83
🇨🇺 Cuba Americas 0.82
🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates Asia 0.79
🇳🇮 Nicaragua Americas 0.76
🇹🇲 Turkmenistan Asia 0.72
🇨🇿 Czechia Europe 0.68
🇨🇭 Switzerland Europe 0.65
🇧🇾 Belarus Europe 0.63
🇦🇹 Austria Europe 0.62
🇭🇺 Hungary Europe 0.62
🇴🇲 Oman Asia 0.61
🇵🇹 Portugal Europe 0.60
🇬🇷 Greece Europe 0.59
🇵🇦 Panama Americas 0.57
🇨🇷 Costa Rica Americas 0.55
🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau Africa 0.54
🇵🇸 West Bank Asia 0.54
🇬🇲 Gambia Africa 0.51
🇱🇧 Lebanon Asia 0.51
🇳🇦 Namibia Africa 0.50
🇳🇴 Norway Europe 0.49
🇩🇰 Denmark Europe 0.49
🇮🇪 Ireland Europe 0.48
🇳🇿 New Zealand Oceania 0.47
🇬🇦 Gabon Africa 0.45
🇷🇸 Serbia Europe 0.44
🇭🇰 Hong Kong Asia 0.43
🇫🇮 Finland Europe 0.43
🇧🇬 Bulgaria Europe 0.41
🇵🇸 Gaza Strip Asia 0.41
🇰🇼 Kuwait Asia 0.40
🇬🇪 Georgia Asia 0.40
🇸🇬 Singapore Asia 0.39
🇲🇳 Mongolia Asia 0.38
🇱🇸 Lesotho Africa 0.37
🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea Africa 0.37
🇸🇰 Slovakia Europe 0.36
🇧🇼 Botswana Africa 0.36
🇯🇲 Jamaica Americas 0.33
🇹🇱 Timor-Leste Asia 0.33
🇺🇾 Uruguay Americas 0.32
🇦🇱 Albania Europe 0.29
🇭🇷 Croatia Europe 0.27
🇲🇩 Moldova Europe 0.25
🇦🇲 Armenia Asia 0.24
🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina Europe 0.24
🇽🇰 Kosovo Europe 0.21
🇸🇿 Eswatini Africa 0.19
🇱🇹 Lithuania Europe 0.18
🇵🇷 Puerto Rico Americas 0.18
🇶🇦 Qatar Asia 0.17
🇲🇰 North Macedonia Europe 0.16
🇩🇯 Djibouti Africa 0.16
🇰🇲 Comoros Africa 0.14
🇧🇭 Bahrain Asia 0.14
🇸🇮 Slovenia Europe 0.13
🇱🇻 Latvia Europe 0.12
🇸🇧 Solomon Islands Oceania 0.12
🇫🇯 Fiji Oceania 0.11
🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago Americas 0.11
🇧🇹 Bhutan Asia 0.10
🇨🇾 Cyprus Asia 0.10
🇬🇾 Guyana Americas 0.10
🇲🇺 Mauritius Africa 0.09
🇨🇻 Cabo Verde Africa 0.08
🇪🇪 Estonia Europe 0.08
🇸🇷 Suriname Americas 0.07
🇧🇿 Belize Americas 0.06
🇧🇳 Brunei Asia 0.06
🇱🇺 Luxembourg Europe 0.06
🇲🇪 Montenegro Europe 0.05
🇻🇺 Vanuatu Oceania 0.05
🇸🇹 Sao Tome and Principe Africa 0.04
🇲🇻 Maldives Asia 0.04
🇲🇴 Macau Asia 0.04
🇧🇸 Bahamas, The Americas 0.04
🇮🇸 Iceland Europe 0.03
🇲🇹 Malta Europe 0.03
🇳🇨 New Caledonia Oceania 0.03
🇵🇫 French Polynesia Oceania 0.03
🇼🇸 Samoa Oceania 0.03
🇧🇧 Barbados Americas 0.02
🇬🇺 Guam Oceania 0.02
🇰🇮 Kiribati Oceania 0.02
🇹🇴 Tonga Oceania 0.02
🇨🇼 Curacao Americas 0.01
🇱🇨 Saint Lucia Americas 0.01
🇫🇲 Micronesia, Federated States of Oceania 0.01
🇲🇭 Marshall Islands Oceania 0.01
🇬🇩 Grenada Americas 0.01
🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda Americas 0.01
🇦🇼 Aruba Americas 0.01
🇯🇪 Jersey Europe 0.01
🇻🇨 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Americas 0.01
🇻🇮 Virgin Islands Americas 0.01
🇸🇨 Seychelles Africa 0.01
🇩🇲 Dominica Americas 0.01
🇮🇲 Isle of Man Europe 0.01
🇧🇲 Bermuda Americas 0.01
🇲🇵 Northern Mariana Islands Oceania 0.01
🇬🇱 Greenland Americas 0.01
🇹🇨 Turks and Caicos Islands Americas 0.01
🇫🇴 Faroe Islands Europe 0.01
🇦🇸 American Samoa Oceania 0.01
🇰🇾 Cayman Islands Americas 0.01
🇰🇳 Saint Kitts and Nevis Americas 0.00
🇬🇬 Guernsey Europe 0.00
🇦🇩 Andorra Europe 0.00
🇸🇽 Sint Maarten Americas 0.00
🇲🇫 Saint Martin Americas 0.00
🇻🇬 British Virgin Islands Americas 0.00
🇬🇮 Gibraltar Europe 0.00
🇱🇮 Liechtenstein Europe 0.00
🇸🇲 San Marino Europe 0.00
🇹🇻 Tuvalu Oceania 0.00
🇵🇼 Palau Oceania 0.00
🇦🇮 Anguilla Americas 0.00
🇲🇨 Monaco Europe 0.00
🇳🇷 Nauru Oceania 0.00
🇼🇫 Wallis and Futuna Oceania 0.00
🇨🇰 Cook Islands Oceania 0.00
🇸🇭 Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha Africa 0.00
🇧🇱 Saint Barthelemy Americas 0.00
🇲🇸 Montserrat Americas 0.00
🇫🇰 Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas) Americas 0.00
🇵🇲 Saint Pierre and Miquelon Americas 0.00

It’s worth noting that, while India ranks number one on the list, the country’s birth rate (which is its total number of births in a year per 1,000 individuals) is actually slightly below the global average, at 16.8 compared to 17.7 respectively.

China, which comes second on the list, is similar to India, with a high population but relatively low birth rate as well. On the other hand, Nigeria, which ranks third on the list, has a birth rate that’s nearly double the global average, at 34.2.

Why is Nigeria’s birth rate so high?

There are various intermingling factors at play, but one key reason is the fact that Nigeria’s economy still is developing, and ranks 131st globally in terms of GDP per capita. Further, access to education for women is still not as widespread as it could be, and research shows that this is strongly correlated with higher birth rates.

The World’s Population Growth Rate is Declining

While there are hundreds of thousands of babies born around the world each day, it’s worth mentioning that the world’s overall population growth rate has actually been declining since the 1960s.

This is happening for a number of reasons, including:

  • Increased wealth around the world, which research has correlated with fewer births
  • Various government policies discouraging large families
  • The global shift from rural to urban living

By 2100, global population growth is expected to drop to 0.1%, which means we’ll essentially reach net-zero population growth.

This would increase our global median age even further, which poses a number of economic risks if countries don’t properly prepare for this demographic shift.

The post Where Will the World’s Next 1,000 Babies Be Born? appeared first on Visual Capitalist.

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